Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 66.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 61.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Zacha
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Zacha
Johansen
Last 10: Zacha 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
9
5
Zacha
Johansen
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
4
Zacha
Johansen
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Zacha
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
53.1% (11,017)
-4.2%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
56.2% (2,163)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
50.5% (978)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johansen
Home
49.7% (3,381)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Zacha
Johansen
P1
49.9%
53.2%
P2
49.2%
53.9%
P3
48.2%
52.8%
OT
53.5%
58.2%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 15, 2018 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |