Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Poehling 48.0% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 66.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Zacha
Poehling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
50.4% (680)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
58.3% (12)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
38.8% (219)
+0.4%
On power play, Poehling has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Zacha
Poehling
Home
51.6% (438)
47.4% (422)
Away
52.4% (445)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Zacha
Poehling
P1
57.0%
53.3%
P2
48.9%
40.3%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
OT
42.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%