Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Carrick 52.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 84.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 61.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 63.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Zacha
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Zacha
Carrick
Last 10: Zacha 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
2
Zacha
Carrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
9
Zacha
Carrick
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
3
Zacha
Carrick
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
52.2% (2,544)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
61.3% (75)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
50.8% (435)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Zacha
Carrick
Home
49.7% (3,381)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Zacha
Carrick
P1
49.9%
51.8%
P2
49.2%
52.3%
P3
48.2%
52.6%
OT
53.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |