Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 27-12 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 92.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 95.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 92.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Zacha
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
12
(39 meetings)
27
12
Zacha
Reinhart
Last 10: Zacha 7-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
10
3
Zacha
Reinhart
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
12
8
Zacha
Reinhart
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
1
Zacha
Reinhart
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
42.5% (2,173)
+6.4%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
46.5% (525)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
41.3% (339)
+0.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Zacha
Reinhart
Home
49.7% (3,381)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Zacha
Reinhart
P1
49.9%
44.5%
P2
49.2%
40.5%
P3
48.2%
44.5%
OT
53.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |