Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Couturier 53.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 55.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 78.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 59.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Zacha
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Zacha
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
0
Zacha
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
53.9% (792)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
62.9% (70)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
51.3% (234)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Zacha
Couturier
Home
51.6% (438)
51.4% (541)
Away
52.4% (445)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Zacha
Couturier
P1
57.0%
56.0%
P2
48.9%
52.6%
P3
50.5%
54.3%
OT
42.1%
44.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |