Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Lewis 43.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 87.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 89.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 82.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Zacha
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Zacha
Lewis
Last 10: Zacha 7-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
2
Zacha
Lewis
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Lewis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
43.2% (2,347)
+5.7%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
51.9% (108)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
38.6% (365)
+3.6%
On even strength, Zacha has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Zacha
Lewis
Home
49.7% (3,381)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Zacha
Lewis
P1
49.9%
42.8%
P2
49.2%
43.9%
P3
48.2%
41.9%
OT
53.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |