Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 62.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Zacha
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Zacha
Smith
Last 10: Zacha 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Zacha
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Zacha
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
4
Zacha
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
51.6% (5,265)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
51.2% (342)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
45.3% (985)
-3.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Zacha shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Zacha
Smith
Home
49.7% (3,381)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Zacha
Smith
P1
49.9%
49.9%
P2
49.2%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
51.9%
OT
53.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Zack Smith |