Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 45.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.1%
Neutral zone
Holland 52.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Holland
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Holland
O'Reilly
Last 10: Holland 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
6
3
Holland
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
Holland
O'Reilly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Holland
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (2,232)
56.2% (15,103)
-10.6%
Power Play
52.4% (126)
58.7% (3,395)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (137)
51.6% (2,769)
-9.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Holland shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,728).
Home / Away
Holland
O'Reilly
Home
48.6% (1,288)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
42.7% (1,207)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Holland
O'Reilly
P1
46.1%
55.5%
P2
47.3%
57.0%
P3
43.9%
55.2%
OT
39.1%
62.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |