Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 45.9% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 71.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 92.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 80.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Holland
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Holland
Kuraly
Last 8: Holland 6-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
0
Holland
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
2
1
Holland
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
3
1
Holland
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (2,232)
51.6% (5,161)
-6.0%
Power Play
52.4% (126)
56.4% (101)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (137)
44.4% (1,091)
-2.1%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Holland shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Holland
Kuraly
Home
48.6% (1,288)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
42.7% (1,207)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Holland
Kuraly
P1
46.1%
51.2%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
43.9%
50.2%
OT
39.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Peter Holland |