Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 45.9% vs Hertl 54.3% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.7%
Defensive zone
Holland 59.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Holland
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Holland
Hertl
Last 6: Holland 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Holland
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Holland
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (2,232)
53.9% (8,303)
-8.3%
Power Play
52.4% (126)
59.2% (1,995)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (137)
46.3% (806)
-4.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Holland shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Holland
Hertl
Home
48.6% (1,288)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
42.7% (1,207)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Holland
Hertl
P1
46.1%
53.6%
P2
47.3%
54.2%
P3
43.9%
55.3%
OT
39.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Peter Holland |