Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.7%). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.6% vs Krebs 45.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 68.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 57.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 50.9%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Dewar
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dewar
Krebs
Last 5: Dewar 4-1 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Dewar
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,027)
46.0% (2,174)
-0.4%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.5% (101)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (198)
38.6% (171)
+3.3%
On power play, Dewar has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Dewar shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Home / Away
Dewar
Krebs
Home
43.8% (603)
45.6% (1,199)
Away
46.7% (645)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Dewar
Krebs
P1
43.9%
45.9%
P2
47.0%
46.5%
P3
44.9%
44.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |