Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Krebs 45.4% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 59.2%
Defensive zone
Krebs 66.7%
Neutral zone
Krebs 67.4%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Jankowski
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jankowski
Krebs
Last 6: Jankowski 2-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Jankowski
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Jankowski
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
44.4% (403)
+9.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
45.0% (20)
+9.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Jankowski shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Krebs
Home
53.2% (331)
46.3% (205)
Away
54.2% (284)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Jankowski
Krebs
P1
52.7%
47.0%
P2
55.8%
45.4%
P3
52.5%
40.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |