Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.4% vs Thomas 51.9% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 55.6%
Defensive zone
Krebs 55.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Krebs
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Krebs
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krebs
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Krebs
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (403)
50.3% (652)
-5.9%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
61.5% (104)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
54.2% (120)
-9.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Krebs is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Krebs shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Krebs
Thomas
Home
46.3% (205)
52.0% (400)
Away
42.4% (224)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Krebs
Thomas
P1
47.0%
49.6%
P2
45.4%
55.4%
P3
40.7%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |