Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krebs wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.4% vs Couturier 53.6% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 56.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 54.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Krebs
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Krebs
Couturier
Last 6: Krebs 3-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Krebs
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Krebs
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
0
Krebs
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (403)
53.9% (792)
-9.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
62.9% (70)
-29.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
51.3% (234)
-6.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Krebs shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Krebs
Couturier
Home
46.3% (205)
51.4% (541)
Away
42.4% (224)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Krebs
Couturier
P1
47.0%
56.0%
P2
45.4%
52.6%
P3
40.7%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |