Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 47.7% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 88.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 68.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 74.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 78.6%
21.4%
78.6%
Varone
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Varone
Stamkos
Last 7: Varone 5-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
2
1
Varone
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
2
0
Varone
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Varone
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (575)
50.5% (9,825)
-3.0%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
55.2% (1,729)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.6% (827)
+0.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Varone shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Varone
Stamkos
Home
48.0% (221)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
46.9% (369)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Varone
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
49.2%
P2
42.7%
52.7%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Phil Varone |