Philipp Kurashev vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 44.7%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kurashev wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 44.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 56.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.0%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 55.1%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Kurashev 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (924)
44.8% (8,775)
-0.2%
Power Play
43.6% (156)
50.6% (844)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
37.8% (880)
+4.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kurashev is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Kurashev shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.5% (521)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
44.2% (597)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Kurashev
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.1%
45.1%
P2
44.4%
43.9%
P3
42.9%
45.2%
OT
38.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |