Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 30.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 46.9% vs Hertl 57.5% (-15.1%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.5%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 59.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Kurashev
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (46)
58.7% (858)
-8.7%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
55.8% (285)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
62.9% (35)
-62.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kurashev is 30.4% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Kurashev shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Hertl
Home
37.5% (40)
60.1% (599)
Away
48.7% (39)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Kurashev
Hertl
P1
48.6%
52.4%
P2
40.0%
63.9%
P3
37.9%
58.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%