Scouting Report
Philipp Kurashev holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 30.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 46.9% vs Novak 42.5% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 72.4%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 58.2%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 51.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Kurashev
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (46)
40.4% (408)
+9.6%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
45.5% (33)
-4.8%
On even strength, Kurashev has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kurashev is 30.4% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Kurashev shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Novak
Home
37.5% (40)
42.0% (212)
Away
48.7% (39)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Kurashev
Novak
P1
48.6%
41.9%
P2
40.0%
39.3%
P3
37.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%