Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 44.7%). Kurashev wins 28.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 48.4% vs Gourde 45.6% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 66.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 69.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Kurashev
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (26)
47.1% (463)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
36.4% (11)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
29.9% (67)
-29.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kurashev is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Kurashev shoots left. Gourde is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Gourde
Home
46.7% (30)
42.3% (215)
Away
43.5% (23)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Kurashev
Gourde
P1
47.6%
44.8%
P2
36.4%
49.1%
P3
47.6%
40.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.3%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%