Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.5% vs Donato 47.1% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 77.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 54.5%
Neutral zone
Donato 60.1%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Danault
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Danault
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Danault
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (745)
46.8% (297)
+9.4%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
41.0% (39)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (124)
100.0% (1)
-48.4%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Danault shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Danault
Donato
Home
56.7% (402)
45.8% (142)
Away
53.7% (518)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Danault
Donato
P1
55.5%
49.5%
P2
54.2%
45.7%
P3
55.2%
43.4%
OT
55.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |