Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Danault wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.5% vs Hartman 45.6% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 65.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 60.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Danault
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Danault
Hartman
Last 10: Danault 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Danault
Hartman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
5
4
Danault
Hartman
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Danault
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (745)
45.1% (874)
+11.1%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
47.4% (95)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (124)
37.5% (16)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Danault shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Danault
Hartman
Home
56.7% (402)
45.0% (515)
Away
53.7% (518)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Danault
Hartman
P1
55.5%
47.3%
P2
54.2%
40.1%
P3
55.2%
48.3%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |