Phillip Danault vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 45-29 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 73.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 94.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 92.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
29
(74 meetings)
45
29
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Danault 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
9
11
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
10
8
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
26
10
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,481)
44.8% (8,775)
+8.8%
Power Play
61.3% (758)
50.6% (844)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,710)
37.8% (880)
+9.6%
On power play, Danault has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Danault shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.2% (5,843)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
52.3% (6,106)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.7%
45.1%
P2
53.4%
43.9%
P3
52.7%
45.2%
OT
49.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |