Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Danault wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.5% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 70.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 53.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 54.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Danault
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Danault
Kuraly
Last 10: Danault 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
4
1
Danault
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Danault
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Danault
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (745)
52.6% (464)
+3.6%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
100.0% (1)
-54.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (124)
46.5% (155)
+5.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Danault shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Danault
Kuraly
Home
56.7% (402)
55.9% (322)
Away
53.7% (518)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Danault
Kuraly
P1
55.5%
55.9%
P2
54.2%
46.7%
P3
55.2%
50.7%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |