Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 25-23 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 67.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Danault
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
25
(48 meetings)
23
25
Danault
Kuraly
Last 10: Danault 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
11
3
Danault
Kuraly
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
13
Danault
Kuraly
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
8
9
Danault
Kuraly
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,481)
51.6% (5,161)
+2.0%
Power Play
61.3% (758)
56.4% (101)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,710)
44.4% (1,091)
+3.0%
On power play, Danault has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Danault shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Danault
Kuraly
Home
54.2% (5,843)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
52.3% (6,106)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Danault
Kuraly
P1
53.7%
51.2%
P2
53.4%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
50.2%
OT
49.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |