Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Danault wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.5% vs Aho 50.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 59.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 85.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 61.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Danault
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Danault
Aho
Last 10: Danault 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
5
8
Danault
Aho
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
7
1
Danault
Aho
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
5
2
Danault
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (745)
50.5% (878)
+5.7%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
53.5% (144)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (124)
44.3% (61)
+7.3%
On power play, Aho has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Danault shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Danault
Aho
Home
56.7% (402)
53.8% (571)
Away
53.7% (518)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Danault
Aho
P1
55.5%
49.0%
P2
54.2%
51.7%
P3
55.2%
50.3%
OT
55.6%
58.8%
Final 5 min
56.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | OT | 00:22 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |