Phillip Danault vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.5% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 79.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 72.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 58.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Danault
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Danault
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Danault
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (745)
57.1% (368)
-0.9%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
55.2% (96)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (124)
50.0% (10)
+1.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Danault shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Danault
Stamkos
Home
56.7% (402)
53.9% (230)
Away
53.7% (518)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Danault
Stamkos
P1
55.5%
56.7%
P2
54.2%
54.1%
P3
55.2%
59.2%
OT
55.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.4%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |