Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 43 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Hertl 54.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 64-47 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 75.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 62.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Danault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
64
(111 meetings)
47
64
Danault
Hertl
Last 10: Danault 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
10
33
Danault
Hertl
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
23
15
Danault
Hertl
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
14
16
Danault
Hertl
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,481)
53.9% (8,290)
-0.3%
Power Play
61.3% (758)
59.3% (1,991)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,710)
46.3% (806)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Danault shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,945).
Home / Away
Danault
Hertl
Home
54.2% (5,843)
55.8% (5,365)
Away
52.3% (6,106)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Danault
Hertl
P1
53.7%
53.6%
P2
53.4%
54.1%
P3
52.7%
55.3%
OT
49.3%
46.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |