Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.0% vs Zegras 42.6% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 62.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 90.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 87.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Danault
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Danault
Zegras
Last 6: Danault 4-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (953)
41.1% (559)
+14.0%
Power Play
64.6% (144)
50.0% (12)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (176)
50.0% (2)
-8.0%
On power play, Danault has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Danault shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Danault
Zegras
Home
55.4% (641)
45.7% (247)
Away
53.3% (632)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Danault
Zegras
P1
61.0%
45.5%
P2
52.3%
36.8%
P3
51.3%
41.1%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
54.4%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |