Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 61.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 55.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Danault
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Danault
Seguin
Last 5: Danault 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (745)
53.2% (201)
+3.0%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
60.0% (25)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (124)
44.4% (9)
+7.2%
On power play, Seguin has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Danault shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Danault
Seguin
Home
56.7% (402)
56.3% (126)
Away
53.7% (518)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Danault
Seguin
P1
55.5%
44.3%
P2
54.2%
52.1%
P3
55.2%
62.5%
OT
55.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |