Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Smith 39.9% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 70.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 97.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 89.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Danault
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Danault
Smith
Last 5: Danault 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,481)
33.5% (194)
+20.1%
Power Play
61.3% (758)
48.1% (27)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,710)
50.0% (2)
-2.6%
On even strength, Danault has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,047).
Danault shoots left. Smith is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Danault
Smith
Home
54.2% (5,843)
33.6% (128)
Away
52.3% (6,106)
37.9% (95)
By Period
Danault
Smith
P1
53.7%
37.1%
P2
53.4%
33.8%
P3
52.7%
33.9%
OT
49.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Smith
36.0%▬
37.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Will Smith |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |