Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Dubois wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 48.9% vs McLeod 47.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 54.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 65.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Dubois
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dubois
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dubois
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
0
Dubois
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dubois
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (259)
49.0% (827)
-4.2%
Power Play
70.6% (34)
44.0% (91)
+26.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
43.0% (272)
+32.0%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Dubois shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Dubois
McLeod
Home
46.6% (163)
48.5% (619)
Away
50.7% (138)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Dubois
McLeod
P1
44.0%
52.7%
P2
51.5%
43.9%
P3
49.5%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |