Pierre-Luc Dubois vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Dubois wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 46.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Dubois
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
16
(22 meetings)
6
16
Dubois
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Dubois 3-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
3
Dubois
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
7
Dubois
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
6
Dubois
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (7,036)
44.8% (8,775)
+1.4%
Power Play
51.7% (613)
50.6% (844)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (108)
37.8% (880)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,084).
Dubois shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Dubois
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.9% (3,872)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
45.4% (3,885)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Dubois
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.5%
45.1%
P2
45.6%
43.9%
P3
46.8%
45.2%
OT
48.8%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
46.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |