Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 48.9% vs Carrick 54.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 88.5%
Defensive zone
Dubois 66.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 75.0%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Dubois
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dubois
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Dubois
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Dubois
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (259)
55.5% (470)
-10.7%
Power Play
70.6% (34)
66.7% (3)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
50.0% (58)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dubois is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Dubois shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Dubois
Carrick
Home
46.6% (163)
58.6% (261)
Away
50.7% (138)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Dubois
Carrick
P1
44.0%
55.9%
P2
51.5%
53.5%
P3
49.5%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |