Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Dubois wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 48.9% vs Steel 50.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 61.2%
Defensive zone
Dubois 55.5%
Neutral zone
Dubois 61.0%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Dubois
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dubois
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Dubois
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Dubois
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (259)
52.5% (200)
-7.7%
Power Play
70.6% (34)
71.4% (7)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
40.0% (45)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Dubois shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Dubois
Steel
Home
46.6% (163)
49.5% (109)
Away
50.7% (138)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Dubois
Steel
P1
44.0%
49.5%
P2
51.5%
47.5%
P3
49.5%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Sam Steel |