Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Dubois wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 46.6% vs Kuraly 49.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 68.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Dubois
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dubois
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
0
Dubois
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Dubois
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (72)
50.8% (370)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
44.1% (127)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dubois is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Dubois shoots left. Kuraly is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Dubois
Kuraly
Home
34.5% (29)
52.8% (269)
Away
46.9% (49)
44.7% (228)
By Period
Dubois
Kuraly
P1
35.7%
53.2%
P2
42.9%
45.8%
P3
50.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
35.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |