Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Dubois wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 48.9% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 68.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.3%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Dubois
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dubois
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
0
Dubois
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Dubois
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (259)
52.6% (464)
-7.8%
Power Play
70.6% (34)
100.0% (1)
-29.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
46.5% (155)
+28.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Dubois shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Dubois
Kuraly
Home
46.6% (163)
55.9% (322)
Away
50.7% (138)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Dubois
Kuraly
P1
44.0%
55.9%
P2
51.5%
46.7%
P3
49.5%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |