Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 47.8%). Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.8% vs Suter 48.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 57.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Dowd
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dowd
Suter
Last 5: Dowd 4-1 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Suter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
49.7% (370)
+1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
44.4% (18)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
39.8% (83)
+1.7%
On power play, Suter has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Dowd is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Dowd shoots right. Suter is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suter
Home
48.5% (466)
47.1% (242)
Away
48.8% (426)
48.5% (229)
By Period
Dowd
Suter
P1
48.4%
48.2%
P2
46.8%
47.4%
P3
51.3%
48.8%
OT
30.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Suter
38.0%▼
47.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |