Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Lorentz 48.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Suter leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lorentz 57.6%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 59.4%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 58.1%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Suter
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Suter
Lorentz
Last 10: Suter 6-4 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
2
1
Suter
Lorentz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
2
Suter
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
3
1
Suter
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,223)
48.9% (1,125)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.0% (281)
50.0% (26)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (307)
41.8% (91)
-1.7%
On power play, Suter has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Suter is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,405).
Suter shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Suter
Lorentz
Home
46.7% (1,823)
50.6% (609)
Away
45.7% (1,988)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Suter
Lorentz
P1
46.6%
53.0%
P2
46.0%
46.7%
P3
46.0%
46.2%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |