Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suter wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 49.5% vs Hertl 56.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 72.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 69.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Suter
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Suter
Hertl
Last 7: Suter 4-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suter
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
2
1
Suter
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suter
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (299)
57.0% (718)
-9.8%
Power Play
58.9% (56)
64.9% (188)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
44.2% (77)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Suter is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Suter shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Suter
Hertl
Home
51.7% (172)
59.2% (463)
Away
47.3% (205)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Suter
Hertl
P1
48.2%
56.3%
P2
49.3%
55.4%
P3
51.2%
60.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.3%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |