Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Holmberg wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 46.1% vs Faksa 52.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Faksa 60.1%
Defensive zone
Faksa 89.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 76.5%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Holmberg
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Holmberg
Faksa
Last 8: Holmberg 5-3 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
2
Holmberg
Faksa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
2
0
Holmberg
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holmberg
3
1
Holmberg
Faksa
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (669)
52.8% (6,672)
-7.5%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
57.7% (291)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (60)
49.4% (1,362)
-2.7%
On even strength, Faksa has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Holmberg is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Holmberg shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,179).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Faksa
Home
46.5% (413)
52.9% (4,073)
Away
44.5% (337)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Holmberg
Faksa
P1
53.4%
53.0%
P2
41.0%
52.5%
P3
42.4%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
45.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
45.6%
Faksa
44.0%▼
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |