Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 44.6%). Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Holmberg wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 46.0% vs Strome 44.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 54.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 52.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Holmberg
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Holmberg
Strome
Last 8: Holmberg 0-8 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Holmberg
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
4
Holmberg
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Holmberg
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (676)
44.2% (6,887)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
49.2% (855)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
41.5% (410)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Holmberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Holmberg shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Strome
Home
46.2% (422)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
44.5% (337)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Holmberg
Strome
P1
53.1%
43.9%
P2
40.9%
45.4%
P3
42.3%
44.4%
OT
0.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |