Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Holmberg wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 46.0% vs Pinto 50.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 54.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 75.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 63.9%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Holmberg
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Holmberg
Pinto
Last 9: Holmberg 5-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
3
0
Holmberg
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Holmberg
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Holmberg
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (676)
50.7% (2,752)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
54.4% (90)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
45.6% (239)
+0.3%
On even strength, Pinto has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Holmberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Holmberg shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Pinto
Home
46.2% (422)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
44.5% (337)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Holmberg
Pinto
P1
53.1%
48.4%
P2
40.9%
51.9%
P3
42.3%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
41.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |