Pontus Holmberg vs Tage Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Holmberg wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 46.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 58.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Holmberg
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Holmberg
Thompson
Last 5: Holmberg 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Holmberg
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Holmberg
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
0
Holmberg
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (676)
42.9% (3,540)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
46.9% (373)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
33.6% (265)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Holmberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Holmberg shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Thompson
Home
46.2% (422)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
44.5% (337)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Holmberg
Thompson
P1
53.1%
44.4%
P2
40.9%
43.7%
P3
42.3%
40.0%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
41.1%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |