Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Byfield 45.8% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.2%
Defensive zone
Byfield 69.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 61.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Hughes
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hughes
Byfield
Last 5: Hughes 2-3 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Hughes
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
46.8% (801)
-10.1%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
50.8% (59)
-36.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
35.9% (153)
-2.6%
On power play, Byfield has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Hughes
Byfield
Home
35.8% (159)
46.3% (462)
Away
36.5% (159)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Hughes
Byfield
P1
42.3%
44.6%
P2
28.2%
43.4%
P3
37.2%
48.7%
Final 5 min
27.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |