Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Byfield 44.6% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 95.6%
Defensive zone
Frost 69.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 83.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Frost
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Frost
Byfield
Last 10: Frost 8-2 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Byfield
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Frost
Byfield
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
44.5% (853)
+5.8%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
42.9% (21)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
38.2% (68)
+11.8%
On power play, Frost has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Frost
Byfield
Home
50.7% (489)
43.8% (502)
Away
51.7% (544)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Frost
Byfield
P1
53.6%
44.2%
P2
47.8%
43.0%
P3
52.0%
45.0%
OT
66.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
51.2%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |