Quinton Byfield vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Byfield wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 43.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.4%
Defensive zone
Byfield 54.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Byfield 4-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
1
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
4
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
1
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (1,918)
44.9% (8,714)
-0.6%
Power Play
46.2% (106)
50.3% (829)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (212)
37.8% (875)
-2.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Byfield is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,515).
Byfield shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.0% (1,084)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
43.1% (1,152)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.0%
45.1%
P2
42.4%
43.8%
P3
44.3%
45.2%
OT
43.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
42.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
43.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |