Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 44.6%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Byfield wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.0% vs Strome 44.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 60.1%
Defensive zone
Byfield 57.9%
Neutral zone
Byfield 51.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Byfield
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
Byfield
Strome
Last 10: Byfield 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
9
Byfield
Strome
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
5
2
Byfield
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
6
Byfield
Strome
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (2,149)
44.2% (6,887)
+1.2%
Power Play
47.8% (113)
49.2% (855)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (230)
41.5% (410)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Byfield is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Byfield shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Byfield
Strome
Home
45.3% (1,183)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
44.4% (1,309)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Byfield
Strome
P1
45.2%
43.9%
P2
43.7%
45.4%
P3
45.9%
44.4%
OT
40.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |