Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Byfield wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.8% vs Steel 50.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 52.2%
Defensive zone
Byfield 60.7%
Neutral zone
Byfield 53.3%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Byfield
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Byfield
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Byfield
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (801)
52.5% (200)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.8% (59)
71.4% (7)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (153)
40.0% (45)
-4.1%
On power play, Steel has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Byfield shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Byfield
Steel
Home
46.3% (462)
49.5% (109)
Away
44.6% (551)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Byfield
Steel
P1
44.6%
49.5%
P2
43.4%
47.5%
P3
48.7%
56.6%
OT
37.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sam Steel |