Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.4% vs 44.6%). Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.8% vs Thompson 45.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Byfield 55.0%
Defensive zone
Byfield 81.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 65.2%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Byfield
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Byfield
Thompson
Last 10: Byfield 9-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
4
0
Byfield
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
5
1
Byfield
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (801)
44.6% (661)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.8% (59)
48.4% (95)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (153)
33.3% (33)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Byfield is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Byfield shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Byfield
Thompson
Home
46.3% (462)
45.7% (411)
Away
44.6% (551)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Byfield
Thompson
P1
44.6%
47.7%
P2
43.4%
45.7%
P3
48.7%
40.5%
OT
37.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
42.6%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |