Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.0% vs Nosek 53.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 64.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 60.0%
Neutral zone
Byfield 61.3%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Byfield
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Byfield
Nosek
Last 8: Byfield 3-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Byfield
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Byfield
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Byfield
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (2,149)
54.9% (2,710)
-9.5%
Power Play
47.8% (113)
45.8% (48)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (230)
47.2% (428)
-9.4%
On even strength, Nosek has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Byfield is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,656).
Byfield shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Byfield
Nosek
Home
45.3% (1,183)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
44.4% (1,309)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Byfield
Nosek
P1
45.2%
52.2%
P2
43.7%
54.1%
P3
45.9%
54.7%
OT
40.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |