Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.4% vs 45.5%). Byfield wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 51.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 54.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.4%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Byfield
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Byfield
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Byfield
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (801)
47.2% (687)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.8% (59)
45.0% (20)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (153)
33.0% (88)
+2.9%
On power play, Byfield has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Byfield shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Byfield
Gourde
Home
46.3% (462)
44.4% (356)
Away
44.6% (551)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Byfield
Gourde
P1
44.6%
42.2%
P2
43.4%
50.0%
P3
48.7%
44.5%
OT
37.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |